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Polling Data - White House 2004 Democrats

Dates: April, 2003 - to previous

All data are from nationwide surveys of Americans 18 & older.

Polls listed chronologically.


ABC News/Washington Post Poll. April 27-30, 2003. N=1,105 adults nationwide. Results shown are among Democrats and independents who lean Democratic. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch.
 

.

"If the 2004 Democratic presidential primary in your state were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" Options were rotated

%  

.

Joseph Lieberman 29
Richard Gephardt 19
John Kerry 14
Carol Moseley Braun 6
John Edwards 4
Al Sharpton 3
Bob Graham 3
Howard Dean 3
Dennis Kucinich 2
Other (vol.) 1
None (vol.) 1
No opinion 14

 

CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. Latest: April 22-23, 2003. N=386 Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide who are registered to vote. MoE ± 5.

.

"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2004. . . ."

  4/22-23/03 3/14-15/03
  % %
Joe Lieberman 22 15
John Kerry 18 16
Dick Gephardt 16 20
John Edwards 8 6
Howard Dean 6 5
Bob Graham 5 4
Carol Moseley Braun 4 8
Al Sharpton 3 5
Dennis Kucinich 3 3
Other 1 1
No one 5 3
No opinion 9 14

 

Marist College Poll. Latest: April 15-16, 2003. N=301 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents nationwide. MoE ± 5.5.

.

"If the next Democratic presidential primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are . . . ?"
  4/03 2/03 1/03 10/02
  % % % %
Joseph Lieberman 17 18 20 21
Richard Gephardt 13 8 9 18
John Kerry 10 14 14 6
John Edwards 5 4 7 3
Al Sharpton 4 5 3 3
Gary Hart 3 6 5 n/a
Howard Dean 3 - 1 1
Carol Moseley Braun 3 n/a n/a n/a
Bob Graham 2 3 6 n/a
Dennis Kucinich 1 n/a n/a n/a
Undecided 39 42 35 38
Tom Daschle n/a n/a n/a 10

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Robert Teeter (R). Latest: April 12-13, 2003. N=241 Democrats or non-Democrats who said they would vote in a Democratic presidential primary.

.

"Let me mention some people who might seek the Democratic nomination for president in 2004. If the next Democratic primary for president were being held today, for which one of the following candidates would you vote: [see below]?" If "Not sure," ask: "Well, which way do you lean?"

4/03 1/03
% %
Joe Lieberman 19 25
Richard Gephardt 14 17
John Kerry 13 14
John Edwards 4 7
Carol Moseley Braun 4 n/a
Bob Graham 3 6
Howard Dean 3 3
Al Sharpton 2 2
None (vol.) 14 5
Other (vol.) 1 1
Not sure 23 20

 

CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. Latest: March 14-15, 2003. N=420 Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide who are registered to vote. MoE ± 5.

.

"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2004. . . .

 

"If Hillary Clinton DOES NOT run for the Democratic nomination for president in 2004, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the nomination. . . ."

  With
Clinton
Without
Clinton
  % %
Hillary Rodham Clinton 28 n/a
Dick Gephardt 16 20
John Kerry 13 16
Joe Lieberman 11 15
John Edwards 5 6
Howard Dean 4 5
Carol Moseley Braun 3 8
Al Sharpton 2 5
Dennis Kucinich 2 3
Bob Graham 2 4
Other 1 1
No one 2 3
No opinion 11 14

 

Zogby America Poll. March 5-7, 2003. N=515 likely Democratic voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.4.

.

"If the Democratic primary for president were held today and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?"
3/5-7/03 1/24-26/03
% %
Joe Lieberman 18 21
Dick Gephardt 11 9
John Kerry 9 10
Howard Dean 4 2
Al Sharpton 4 6
John Edwards 4 7
Gary Hart 3 6
Bob Graham 1 1
Carol Moseley Braun 1 n/a
Dennis Kucinich 1 n/a
Wesley Clark - -
Other 7 5
Undecided 37 33

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Latest: Feb. 25-26, 2003. N=369 registered Democrats nationwide.

         

.

 

"I'm going to read you a list of names of some possible candidates for the Democratic nomination for president in the next election. If a 2004 Democratic primary for president were held today, which ONE of the following candidates would you most likely vote for?" If "Not sure," ask: "Well, to whom do you lean at this time?"

    2/25-26/03 1/14-15/03      
    % %      
  Dick Gephardt 16 15      
  Joe Lieberman 15 29      
  John Kerry 10 13      
  John Edwards 6 8      
  Carol Moseley-Braun 5 n/a      
  Howard Dean 4 2      
  Al Sharpton 4 5      
  Dennis Kucinich 2 n/a      
  Someone else/Other (vol.) 5 8      
  Not sure 33 20      

 

Time/CNN Poll conducted by Harris Interactive. Feb. 19-20, 2003. N=549 registered Democrats and independents who lean Democratic nationwide.

         

.

 

"Thinking ahead to the 2004 presidential election, if you were asked to vote for a Democratic presidential nominee for president today, which of the following Democrats would you vote for? . . ."

    2/19-20/03 1/15-16/03      
    % %      
  Joseph Lieberman 16 21      
  Dick Gephardt 13 10      
  John Kerry 8 11      
  John Edwards 7 12      
  Al Sharpton 7 2      
  Carol Moseley-Braun 4 n/a      
  Howard Dean 3 3      
  Bob Graham 3 3      
  Dennis Kucinich 2 n/a      
  Other 7 11      
  Not sure 30 27      

 

Marist College Poll. Latest: Feb. 11-13, 2003. N=344 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents nationwide. MoE ± 5.5.
         

.

 
"If the next Democratic presidential primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are . . . ?"
    2/03 1/03 10/02    
    % % %    
  Joseph Lieberman 18 20 21    
  John Kerry 14 14 6    
  Richard Gephardt 8 9 18    
  Gary Hart 6 5 n/a    
  Al Sharpton 5 3 3    
  John Edwards 4 7 3    
  Bob Graham 3 6 n/a    
  Howard Dean - 1 1    
  Undecided 42 35 38    
  Tom Daschle n/a n/a 10    

Quinnipiac University Poll. Jan. 29-Feb. 3, 2003. N=441 Democratic voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.7.

.

"Now I'm going to name six Democrats who might run for president in 2004. After I read all six names, tell me which one you would most like to see the Democrats nominate for president in 2004. Here are the choices . . . ."

%
Joe Lieberman 27
John Kerry 18
Richard Gephardt 16
John Edwards 14
Al Sharpton 6
Howard Dean 3
Don't know 16

.

"Suppose New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton decides to run for president in 2004. Who would you most like to see the Democrats nominate for president in 2004? . . ."

%
Hillary Rodham Clinton 42
Joe Lieberman 15
John Kerry 11
Richard Gephardt 11
John Edwards 7
Howard Dean 3
Al Sharpton 2
Don't know 8

 

The Los Angeles Times Poll. Jan. 30-Feb. 2, 2003. N=399 registered Democrats nationwide. MoE ± 5 (total sample).

.

"I am now going to mention a list of Democrats who have either declared themselves a candidate for president in 2004 or have formed an exploratory committee to decide whether they will run for president. I realize that the first caucus and primary are more than a year away, but if the Democratic primary or caucus for president were being held in your state today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote [see below]?"

ALL Men Women
% % %
Joe Lieberman 25 12 35
John Kerry 20 24 17
John Edwards 8 9 8
Gary Hart 8 10 6
Dick Gephardt 6 8 4
Bob Graham 6 7 5
Al Sharpton 2 3 1
Howard Dean 1 2 1
Someone else (vol.) - 1 -
Don't know 24 24 23

 

Zogby America Poll. Jan. 24-26, 2003. N=399 likely Democratic voters nationwide. MoE ± 5.

.

"If the Democratic primary for president were held today and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?"
%
Joe Lieberman 21
John Kerry 10
Dick Gephardt 9
John Edwards 7
Al Sharpton 6
Gary Hart 6
Howard Dean 2
Bob Graham 1
Wesley Clark -
Other 5
Undecided 33

 

Ipsos-Reid/Cook Political Report Poll. Jan. 7-9 & 21-23, 2003. N=454 registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or Democratic-leaning independents and who said that they plan to participate in their state's 2004 Democratic presidential primary or caucus. MoE ± 4.6.

.

"It is early, but if you had to choose today, which ONE of the following seven candidates would you be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president? . . ."

%
John Kerry 19
Joe Lieberman 19
Richard Gephardt 13
John Edwards 10
Al Sharpton 5
Bob Graham 5
Howard Dean 3
Hillary Rodham Clinton (vol.) 2
Other/None/Not sure 24

.

"If New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton decided to seek the Democratic nomination for president, would you continue to support [response from question above] or would you prefer to support Hillary Rodham Clinton?"
Recalculated preference:

%
Hillary Rodham Clinton 46
John Kerry 12
Joe Lieberman 8
Richard Gephardt 8
John Edwards 4
Bob Graham 2
Howard Dean 2
Al Sharpton -
Other/None/Not sure 17

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Robert Teeter (R). Jan. 19-21, 2003. N=1,025 adults nationwide. These questions were asked of Democrats, as well as non-Democrats who said they would vote in a Democratic presidential primary.

.

"Let me mention some people who might seek the Democratic nomination for president in 2004. If the next Democratic primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates would you vote for: [see below]?" If "Not sure," ask: "Well, which way do you lean?"

%
Joe Lieberman 25
Richard Gephardt 17
John Kerry 14
John Edwards 7
Bob Graham 6
Howard Dean 3
Al Sharpton 2
None (vol.) 5
Other (vol.) 1
Not sure 20

.

"If Hillary Clinton decided to run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2004, and if the next Democratic primary for president were being held today, which one of these same candidates would you vote for: [see below]?" If "Not sure," ask: "Well, which way do you lean?"

%
Hillary Clinton 39
Joe Lieberman 13
Richard Gephardt 10
John Kerry 8
John Edwards 5
Bob Graham 4
Howard Dean 2
Al Sharpton 2
None/Other (vol.) 3
Not sure 14

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Latest: Jan. 16-20, 2003. N=1,133 adults nationwide. Results shown are among Democrats and independents who lean Democratic. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch.

         

.

 

"Suppose your state holds a Democratic primary or caucus for president in 2004 and the candidates are [see below] -- for whom would you vote?" If "Don't know": "Which one are you leaning toward right now?"

    1/03 7/02      
    % %      
  Joseph Lieberman 27 21      
  Richard Gephardt 14 13      
  John Edwards 11 7      
  John Kerry 10 10      
  Al Sharpton 7 n/a      
  Howard Dean 3 3      
  Other (vol.) 1 4      
  None (vol.) 4 n/a      
  Don't know 24 29      
  Tom Daschle n/a 14      

 

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. Jan. 16-17, 2003. N=334 registered Democrats and independents who lean Democratic nationwide. MoE ± 6.

         

.

 

"Now I'm going to name eight Democrats who might run for president in 2004. After I read all eight names, tell me which ONE you would most like to see the Democrats nominate for president in 2004. Here are the choices . . . ." Options rotated

    %        
  Joe Lieberman 22        
  John Edwards 14        
  John Kerry 13        
  Dick Gephardt 13        
  Al Sharpton 6        
  Gary Hart 5        
  Bob Graham 5        
  Howard Dean 4        
  Other (vol.) 1        
  None (vol.) 4        
  Don't know 13        

 

Time/CNN Poll conducted by Harris Interactive. Jan. 15-16, 2003. N=382 registered Democrats and independents who lean Democratic nationwide. MoE ± 5.1.

         

.

 

"Thinking ahead to the 2004 presidential election, if you were asked to vote for a Democratic presidential nominee for president today, which of the following Democrats would you vote for? . . ."

    %        
  Joseph Lieberman 21        
  John Edwards 12        
  John Kerry 11        
  Dick Gephardt 10        
  Howard Dean 3        
  Bob Graham 3        
  Al Sharpton 2        
  Other 11        
  Not sure 27        

 

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Jan. 14-15, 2003. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3 (total sample).

         

.

 
"I'm going to read you a list of names of some possible candidates for the Democratic nomination for president in the next election. If a 2004 Democratic primary for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you most likely vote for?" If "Not sure," ask: "Well, to whom do you lean?"
    ALL Demo-
crats
Repub-
licans
Indepen-
dents
 
    % % % %  
  Joe Lieberman 23 29 18 28  
  Dick Gephardt 13 15 14 8  
  John Kerry 12 13 8 17  
  John Edwards 9 8 11 8  
  Al Sharpton 3 5 2 2  
  Howard Dean 2 2 2 2  
  Someone else/Other (vol.) 14 8 21 11  
  Not sure 24 20 24 24  

 

CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. Latest: Jan. 10-12, 2003. N=391 Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide who are registered to vote. MoE ± 5.
         

.

 

"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2004 . . . ."

    1/10-12/03 1/3-5/03 12/02 11/02  
    % % % %  
  Joe Lieberman 19 18 25 12  
  John Kerry 17 17 21 12  
  Dick Gephardt 13 13 14 9  
  John Edwards 12 14 5 4  
  Bob Graham 6 n/a n/a n/a  
  Gary Hart 6 n/a n/a n/a  
  Al Sharpton 4 4 4 n/a  
  Howard Dean 4 6 3 4  
  Other 2 1 3 1  
  No one 5 3 5 3  
  Undecided 12 10 10 7  
  Tom Daschle n/a 14 10 12  
  Al Gore n/a n/a n/a 36  

 

Zogby America Poll. Jan. 4-6, 2003. N=432 likely Democratic voters nationwide. MoE ± 5.

.

"If the Democratic primary for president were held today and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?"
%
Joe Lieberman 11
John Kerry 9
John Edwards 9
Dick Gephardt 8
Tom Daschle 7
Al Sharpton 3
Bob Graham 2
Howard Dean 2
Other 2
Undecided 46

 

Time/CNN Poll conducted by Harris Interactive. Dec. 17-18, 2002. N=400 registered Democrats and independents who lean Democratic nationwide. MoE ± 4.9.

         

.

 

"Thinking ahead to the 2004 presidential election, if you were asked to vote for a Democratic presidential nominee for president today, which of the following Democrats would you vote for? . . ."

    With
Clinton
Without
Clinton
     
    % %      
  Hillary Clinton 30 n/a      
  John Kerry 13 16      
  Joseph Lieberman 13 16      
  Dick Gephardt 9 10      
  Tom Daschle 7 9      
  John Edwards 4 8      
  Wesley Clark 3 5      
  Howard Dean 2 2      
  Al Sharpton 2 4      
  Joe Biden 2 3      
  Chris Dodd 1 3      
  Not sure 14 24      

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