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Polling Data - White House 2004 Democrats
Dates: July, 2003 - to previous
All data are from nationwide surveys of Americans 18 & older.
Polls listed chronologically.
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Quinnipiac University Poll.
July 17-22, 2003.
N=372 Democratic voters nationwide. MoE
± 5.1. |
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"Now I'm going to
name nine Democrats who might run for president in 2004.
After I read all nine names, tell me which one you would most like to
see the
Democrats nominate for president in 2004. Here are the choices
. . . ." |
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7/17-22/03 |
6/4-9/03 |
2/26-
3/3/03 |
1/29-
2/3/03 |
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% |
% |
% |
% |
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Joe Lieberman |
21 |
22 |
21 |
27 |
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Dick
Gephardt |
16 |
17 |
17 |
16 |
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John Kerry |
13 |
15 |
12 |
18 |
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Howard Dean |
10 |
5 |
4 |
3 |
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Al Sharpton |
6 |
5 |
5 |
6 |
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John Edwards |
4 |
5 |
8 |
14 |
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Carol Moseley Braun |
4 |
4 |
7 |
n/a |
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Bob Graham |
3 |
6 |
6 |
n/a |
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Dennis Kucinich |
2 |
1 |
2 |
n/a |
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Don't know |
21 |
21 |
18 |
16 |
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. |
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"Suppose New York
Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton decides to run for
president in 2004. Who would you most like to see the Democrats nominate
for president in 2004? . . ." |
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7/17-22/03 |
6/4-9/03 |
2/26-
3/3/03 |
1/29-
2/3/03 |
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% |
% |
% |
% |
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Hillary
Rodham Clinton |
48 |
40 |
37 |
42 |
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Joe Lieberman |
11 |
16 |
12 |
15 |
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John Kerry |
7 |
8 |
8 |
11 |
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Dick
Gephardt |
7 |
10 |
13 |
11 |
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Howard Dean |
4 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
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John Edwards |
3 |
2 |
4 |
7 |
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Bob Graham |
3 |
4 |
4 |
n/a |
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Carol Moseley Braun |
2 |
1 |
3 |
n/a |
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Dennis Kucinich |
2 |
1 |
3 |
n/a |
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Al Sharpton |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
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Don't know |
12 |
12 |
11 |
8 |
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Time/CNN
Poll conducted by Harris Interactive.
July 16-17, 2003.
N=400 registered Democrats and independents who lean Democratic nationwide. |
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"Thinking ahead to the 2004
presidential election, if you were asked to vote for a Democratic
presidential nominee for president today, which of the following Democrats
would you vote for? . . ." |
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7/16-17/03 |
5/21-22/03 |
2/19-20/03 |
1/15-16/03 |
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% |
% |
% |
% |
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Joseph Lieberman |
16 |
13 |
16 |
21 |
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John Kerry |
14 |
14 |
8 |
11 |
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Dick Gephardt |
12 |
13 |
13 |
10 |
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Howard Dean |
10 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
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John Edwards |
6 |
7 |
7 |
12 |
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Al Sharpton |
5 |
8 |
7 |
2 |
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Bob Graham |
4 |
5 |
3 |
3 |
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Carol
Moseley Braun |
4 |
3 |
4 |
n/a |
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Dennis
Kucinich |
3 |
2 |
2 |
n/a |
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Other |
3 |
1 |
7 |
11 |
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Not sure |
23 |
30 |
30 |
27 |
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. |
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Current results, with leaners: |
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% |
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Joseph Lieberman |
18 |
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John Kerry |
15 |
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Dick Gephardt |
13 |
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Howard Dean |
10 |
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John Edwards |
7 |
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Al Sharpton |
5 |
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Carol
Moseley Braun |
5 |
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Bob Graham |
4 |
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Dennis
Kucinich |
3 |
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Other |
3 |
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Not sure |
17 |
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| Zogby
America Poll. July 16-17, 2003. N=504
likely Democratic voters nationwide. MoE ±
4.4. |
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. |
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"If the Democratic primary
for president were held today and the candidates were
[see below],
for whom would you vote?" |
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7/16-17/03 |
3/5-7/03 |
1/24-26/03 |
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% |
% |
% |
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Dick
Gephardt |
12 |
11 |
9 |
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Howard Dean |
12 |
4 |
2 |
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Joe Lieberman |
12 |
18 |
21 |
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John Kerry |
9 |
9 |
10 |
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Al Sharpton |
4 |
4 |
6 |
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John Edwards |
3 |
4 |
7 |
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Carol Moseley Braun |
2 |
1 |
n/a |
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Dennis Kucinich |
2 |
1 |
n/a |
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Bob Graham |
1 |
1 |
1 |
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Other |
6 |
7 |
5 |
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Undecided |
39 |
37 |
33 |
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Gary Hart |
n/a |
3 |
6 |
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Wesley Clark |
n/a |
- |
- |
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Newsweek
Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates.
July 10-11, 2003.
N=376 registered Democrats and independents who lean Democratic nationwide. MoE ±
6. |
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. |
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"Now I'm going to
name nine Democrats who might run for president in the next election. After
I read all their names, tell me which ONE you would MOST like to see
nominated as the Democratic Party's presidential candidate in 2004.
Here are the choices . . . ."
Names rotated |
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7/03 |
1/03 |
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% |
% |
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Dick Gephardt |
14 |
13 |
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Joe Lieberman |
13 |
22 |
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Howard Dean |
12 |
4 |
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John Kerry |
10 |
13 |
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Bob Graham |
7 |
5 |
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Al Sharpton |
6 |
6 |
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John Edwards |
6 |
14 |
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Carol Moseley Braun |
3 |
n/a |
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Dennis Kucinich |
2 |
n/a |
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Other (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
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None (vol.) |
3 |
4 |
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Don't know |
23 |
13 |
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Gary Hart |
n/a |
5 |
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ABC News/Washington
Post Poll. July 9-10,
2003. N=443 Democrats and independents who lean Democratic.
MoE ±
4.5. Fieldwork by TNS
Intersearch. |
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"If
the 2004 Democratic presidential primary in your state were being held
today, and the candidates were
[see below],
for whom would you vote?"
Names rotated |
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7/03 |
4/03 |
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% |
% |
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Joseph Lieberman |
13 |
29 |
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John Kerry |
12 |
14 |
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Richard Gephardt |
10 |
19 |
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Howard Dean |
8 |
3 |
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John Edwards |
6 |
4 |
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Al Sharpton |
6 |
3 |
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Carol Moseley Braun |
4 |
6 |
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Bob Graham |
3 |
3 |
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Dennis Kucinich |
2 |
2 |
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Other (vol.) |
2 |
1 |
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None (vol.) |
13 |
1 |
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Wouldn't vote (vol.) |
7 |
0 |
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No opinion |
16 |
14 |
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CBS News
Poll. July 8-9, 2003.
N=753 adults nationwide. MoE ±
4 (total sample). |
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"From
what you have heard or read, can you name any of the candidates running for
the 2004 Democratic nomination for president?"
If "Yes":
"Who is the
first one who comes to mind?" |
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ALL |
Repub-
licans |
Demo-
crats |
Indepen-
dents |
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% |
% |
% |
% |
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Yes, can name a candidate |
34 |
35 |
34 |
33 |
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Howard Dean |
7 |
5 |
7 |
8 |
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John Kerry |
7 |
5 |
7 |
8 |
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Joe Lieberman |
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
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Richard Gephardt |
3 |
4 |
3 |
2 |
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Al Sharpton |
2 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
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Hillary Clinton |
2 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
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John Edwards |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
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Al Gore |
1 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
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Bob Graham |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
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Dennis Kucinich |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
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Other |
3 |
7 |
4 |
4 |
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No, can't name a candidate |
66 |
65 |
66 |
67 |
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FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll.
June 17-18, 2003.
N=301 registered
Democrats nationwide. |
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"I'm going to read
you a list of names of some possible candidates for the Democratic
nomination for president in the next election. If a 2004 Democratic primary
for president were held today, which ONE of the following candidates would
you most likely vote for?" If
"Not sure," ask: "Well,
to whom do you lean at this time?" |
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6/17-18/03 |
5/6-7/03 |
2/25-26/03 |
1/14-15/03 |
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% |
% |
% |
% |
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Joe Lieberman |
15 |
19 |
15 |
29 |
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John Kerry |
15 |
12 |
10 |
13 |
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Dick Gephardt |
7 |
14 |
16 |
15 |
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John Edwards |
5 |
5 |
6 |
8 |
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Bob Graham |
5 |
4 |
n/a |
n/a |
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Howard Dean |
4 |
5 |
4 |
2 |
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Carol Moseley Braun |
3 |
2 |
5 |
n/a |
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Dennis Kucinich |
2 |
1 |
2 |
n/a |
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Al Sharpton |
2 |
5 |
4 |
5 |
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Someone else/Other
(vol.) |
8 |
3 |
5 |
8 |
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Not sure |
34 |
30 |
33 |
20 |
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