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Polling Data - White House 2004 Democrats
All data are from nationwide surveys of Americans 18 & older.
Polls listed chronologically.
| CNN/USA
Today/Gallup Poll. Aug. 4-6, 2003. N=391 Democrats
and Democratic leaners nationwide who are registered to vote.
MoE ± 6. |
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"Next,
I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the
Democratic primary for president in the next election. After
I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates
you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination
for president in the year 2004. . . ." |
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8/4-6/03 |
7/25-27/03 |
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% |
% |
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Joe Lieberman |
18 |
21 |
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Dick Gephardt |
15 |
16 |
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Howard Dean |
15 |
11 |
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John Kerry |
12 |
15 |
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John Edwards |
5 |
6 |
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Carol Moseley Braun |
5 |
6 |
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Bob Graham |
5 |
4 |
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Al Sharpton |
4 |
5 |
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Dennis Kucinich |
2 |
2 |
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Other |
4 |
- |
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No one |
5 |
2 |
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No opinion |
10 |
12 |
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. |
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6/12-18/03 |
5/30 -
6/1/03 |
4/22-23/03 |
3/14-15/03 |
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% |
% |
% |
% |
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Joe Lieberman |
21 |
20 |
22 |
15 |
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Dick Gephardt |
17 |
14 |
16 |
20 |
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John Kerry |
13 |
17 |
18 |
16 |
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Bob Graham |
7 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
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Howard Dean |
7 |
5 |
6 |
5 |
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John Edwards |
6 |
6 |
8 |
6 |
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Al Sharpton |
6 |
7 |
3 |
5 |
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Carol Moseley Braun |
5 |
4 |
4 |
8 |
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Dennis Kucinich |
1 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
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Other |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
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No one |
5 |
5 |
5 |
3 |
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No opinion |
11 |
15 |
9 |
14 |
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| NBC
News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling
organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Robert Teeter (R). July 26-28,
2003. Asked of Democrats, and non-Democrats who said they would
vote in a Democratic presidential primary. |
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"Let
me mention some people who might seek the Democratic nomination
for president in 2004. If the next Democratic primary for
president were being held today, for which one of the following
candidates would you vote: [see below]?" If "Not
sure," ask: "Well, which way do
you lean?" |
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7/03 |
5/03 |
4/03 |
1/03 |
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% |
% |
% |
% |
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Joe Lieberman |
25 |
21 |
19 |
25 |
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John Kerry |
14 |
17 |
13 |
14 |
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Howard Dean |
12 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
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Richard Gephardt |
11 |
16 |
14 |
17 |
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Carol Moseley Braun |
5 |
4 |
4 |
n/a |
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John Edwards |
4 |
5 |
4 |
7 |
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Bob Graham |
4 |
4 |
3 |
6 |
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Al Sharpton |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
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Dennis Kucinich |
2 |
1 |
n/a |
n/a |
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None (vol.) |
7 |
6 |
14 |
5 |
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Other (vol.) |
- |
1 |
1 |
1 |
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Not sure |
14 |
21 |
23 |
20 |
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Ipsos-Reid/Cook
Political Report Poll. July 22-24, 2003. N=266
likely Democratic presidential primary/caucus voters nationwide.
MoE ± 6.5. |
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"It
is early, but if you had to choose today, which ONE of the
following eight candidates would you be most likely to support
for the Democratic nomination for president? . . ." |
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7/03 |
5/03 |
4/03 |
2/03 |
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% |
% |
% |
% |
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John Kerry |
20 |
15 |
19 |
18 |
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Joe Lieberman |
14 |
18 |
14 |
18 |
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Richard Gephardt |
14 |
14 |
14 |
15 |
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Howard Dean |
12 |
7 |
6 |
4 |
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John Edwards |
6 |
9 |
10 |
10 |
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Carol Moseley Braun |
3 |
3 |
4 |
3 |
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Bob Graham |
3 |
8 |
6 |
5 |
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Al Sharpton |
3 |
5 |
4 |
5 |
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Hillary Rodham Clinton (vol.) |
2 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
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Other/None/Not sure |
23 |
18 |
22 |
20 |
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Asked
of those who made a choice and did not volunteer Hillary Rodham
Clinton: "If
New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton decided to seek the
Democratic nomination for president, would you continue to
support [response from question above] or would you
prefer to support Hillary Rodham Clinton?"
Asked
of those who did not have an initial preference: "If
New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton decided to seek the Democratic
nomination for president, would she be your first choice for the
nomination?"
Recalculated
preference: |
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7/03 |
5/03 |
4/03 |
2/03 |
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% |
% |
% |
% |
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Hillary Rodham Clinton |
40 |
38 |
41 |
40 |
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John Kerry |
11 |
10 |
13 |
11 |
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Howard Dean |
9 |
4 |
3 |
2 |
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Richard Gephardt |
8 |
8 |
7 |
7 |
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Joe Lieberman |
7 |
10 |
6 |
11 |
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John Edwards |
2 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
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Bob Graham |
1 |
5 |
4 |
2 |
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Carol Moseley Braun |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
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Al Sharpton |
- |
2 |
2 |
2 |
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Other/None/Not sure |
21 |
16 |
17 |
17 |
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